NASA Pulls Climate Data Out of Hats Like Rabbits

Historical temperature data post 2015 look very different from pre-2015 data

By Dr. Jay Lehr 

Late last year NASA scientist Martin Mlynczak, announced that the Earth may be cooling. It was surprise because data manipulation has been going on for many years at both NOAA (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency) and NASA (National Aeronautic and Space Agency).

The most current temperature curves produced by these agencies track well with the increases in man’s carbon dioxide emissions in recent decades. However a few years earlier the data presented looked nothing like that of more recent times.

For years Climate activists in charge of NOAA and NASA were surprised that their own data and satellite measurements had been showing the climate to be stable or cooling since 1998 while CO2 levels had continued to rise. They were under intense pressure to explain how this could be in the face of all the alarmist reports put out by the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 

It was time to resort to the strategy that progressives use in times of crisis. If you do not like the facts, ignore them. 

The publication Frontiers of Freedom in their February 23, 2016 issue documented what has been done in an article by T. Richard titled “How NOAA Rewrote Climate Data to Hide Global Warming Pause”.

The falsification of climate data by NOAA and NASA covers more than just the past decade. The U.S. has published temperature data beginning in 1880 up to the present. Tony Heller shows how their data has been tinkered with many times in past years, in The History of NASA/NOAA Temperature Corruption.

The graph of the NASA data from 1880 to the year 2000 (below) was posted in 1999. On the same chart is the data NASA posted for the very same years in 2016. This obvious alteration of reality should be an embarrassment to NASA, but it appears not to be.NASA pulls climate data out of hats like rabbits

Representative Lamar Smith former chair of the House of Representatives Science and Technology Committee demanded that NOAA and NASA produce their data for independent analysis. NOAA refused to release the subpoenaed documents. Judicial Watch has sued NOAA under the Freedom of Information Act to obtain access to their data. So far nothing has been turned over.

The climate curve recalculated in 2016 is now in complete agreement with the global warming movement. The cooling trend between 1940 and 1970 has been eliminated. 

Remember my article revealing 30 year temperature cycles? This cooling trend roughly lines up with the one I pointed out in 2015. To be followed by a warming period of 30 years through to near the end of the century, then another cooling (or non-warming) cycle which we are in now. it should last until about 2030 whereupon, the cooling temperatures of the upper atmosphere may well reach the earths surface. The greenhouse effect may temper the cooling trend along with the 30 year cycle, but many scientists around the world are more concerned about global cooling than global warming. Certainly, if the sun-spot minimum lasts more than 30 or 40 years, the latter part of this century may be much cooler than most people expect.

The data now show that temperatures are increasing along with our rising carbon dioxide. The new curve shows the Earth’s temperature increased 1.4 degrees C since 1880. Temperatures that are out of line with the prediction of alarmists are gradually and systematically adjusted and replaced by corrected computer generated temperatures. Children who are fed this new data are being recruited to beg us to save their futures.

Children are also being stressed out that the world will come to an end if they don't act now. What kind of evil craziness is that? Major media outlets and governments are deliberately raising the panic level among children. It is extremely irresponsible.

The truth seeping out from NASA was first reported in the New American magazine by James Murphy in October of 2018 where he quoted Martin Mlynczak of NASA’s Langley Research Center saying “High above Earths’s surface, near the edge of space, our atmosphere is losing heat energy. If current trends continue, it could soon set a Space Age record for cold”. 

Major media outlets completely ignored this information.

This new revelation comes from NASA’s SABER instrument aboard NASA’s TIMED satellite. In plain talk SABER stands for Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry and TIMED stands for the Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics.

SABER monitors infrared radiation from carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide which are two of the gases that play a major role in releasing energy from the thermosphere at the top of our atmosphere which encapsulates our planets heat. Mlynczak, who is the associate principal investigator for SABER said “the thermosphere always cools off during Solar Minimums. It’s one of the most important ways the solar cycle effects our planet”. Solar Minimums as the words would indicate are periods of less activity spawning a decrease in radiation launched toward the Earth.

While pondering this surprise comment from NASA in a January 30, 2019 post, author Michael Sherlock said “all any of this proves is that we have at best, a cursory understanding of Earth’s incredibly complex climate system. So when mainstream media and carbon credit salesman Al Gore breathlessly warn you that we must do something about climate change, it’s alright to step back, take a deep breadth, and realize that we don’t have the knowledge, skill or resources to have much effect on the Earth’s climate.”

Author
Dr. Jay Lehr
Jay Lehr is the author of more than 1,000 magazine and journal articles and 36 books. He is an internationally renowned scientist, author and speaker who has testified before Congress on dozens of occasions on environmental issues and consulted with nearly every agency of the national government, as well as many foreign countries. He is a leading authority on groundwater hydrology.

Super El Nino has Passed its Peak, WMO Says

This year's El Nino is tied with 1997-98 for strongest on record, conditions could last into May

The Associated Press 

Calgarian Erik van Kuppeveld takes a break from reading and takes in the sunshine and 9C temperatures earlier February. Warm air from the Pacific as a result of El Nino has led to a warmer-than-average late fall and winter in much of Canada. (Larry MacDougal/Canadian Press)

Meteorologists see signs that the super El Nino is weakening ever so slightly, but they caution months will pass before people in Canada and the U.S. will feel it.

The World Meteorological Organization said late last week that El Nino has passed its peak based on specific temperature, wind, and atmospheric pressure conditions.

That's technically true, but Michelle L'Heureux, lead El Nino forecaster for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, said there's a few months lag time before the changes affect the Americas.

El Nino is the occasional but natural warming of the central tropical Pacific which, along with changes in the atmosphere, alters weather patterns worldwide. It often brings more rain to California and parts of the U.S. West and South, raises temperatures globally a bit, and causes droughts elsewhere in the world. In Canada, a balmy November and December in many parts of the country have been linked to this year's super El Nino bringing warm air from the Pacific.

In December and January, El Nino measurements showed it tied 1997-1998 for the strongest since records started being kept in 1950.


El Nino-like conditions into May

"It's still strong, but it has reached a peak value and it's starting its decline," said University of Oklahoma meteorology professor Jason Furtado. "It's still there; it's not like we don't have El Nino anymore. We can still expect (El Nino) like conditions in March and April and even into May, as well."

Olivia Brown, left, and her friend Elizabeth Foster take the sun at Playa Del Rey beach in Los Angeles Friday, Feb. 12, 2016. A February of dry skies raises worries this El Nino may not be the drought-buster California needs.
(Nick Ut/Associated Press)

California Drought

Mike Halpert, deputy director of the climate prediction centre, said this El Nino hasn't brought drought-struck California as much moisture as previous strong El Ninos, but there are still two months to go to get significant rainfall.

With El Nino still kicking, NOAA forecast a spring that's wetter than normal throughout the U.S. South, much of the West and part of the East. Only the Great Lakes region and Pacific Northwest are forecast to be dry. It also predicts warmer than usual weather along the entire West Coast and most of the country north of Colorado, Missouri and Tennessee, with only Texas, parts of Oklahoma and New Mexico cooler than normal.


Look out for La Nina

The International Research Institute at Columbia University forecast that once this El Nino fades, there's a 50 per cent chance it will be followed directly by El Nino's flip side, a La Nina. La Nina often means droughts in parts of the U.S. Great Plains and Southwest with more rain in the Northwest. La Ninas often mean warmer winters in the U.S. Southeast and cooler winters in the Northwest.

A 50% chance? That's really helpful!

In the slide above are the changes in sea surface temperatures over the past 4 weeks. El Nino/La Nina reveals itself along the equator between South America and Indonesia. The blue in the eastern half of that zone indicates that the SSTs are cooling which means El Nino is in decline.

Death Toll Rises Across East Asia After Freak Cold Snap

If you think 'snowzilla' was bad in the eastern US last weekend, east Asia had it worse. They may not have gotten as much snow as Washington or New York, but for countries with sub-tropical climates, the results were tragic.

BTW, I want to congratulate NOAA on the excellent forecasting of the 'snowstorm of the century'. You nailed it! And in so doing, probably kept the death toll down considerably. Kudos.

© Kim Hong-Ji / Reuters

Dozens of fatalities have been reported across Taiwan, Japan, and China due to relatively severe weather conditions that suddenly hit the region over the weekend.

At least 57 people are believed to have died in Taiwan since Saturday as a result of a rare cold snap sweeping through East Asia.

Taiwan’s Central News Agency reports fatalities may have already reached 85.

The majority of those deaths were reported in the capital Taipei, as well as New Taipei city and Taoyuan in northern Taiwan.

Temperatures in Taiwan's capital of Taipei plunged to a 16-year low of 4 degrees Celsius (39 Fahrenheit), killing 57...

Posted by ‎משה זאב‎ on Monday, January 25, 2016

Temperatures have fallen dramatically, to a 16-year low of 4 °C (39° F). While such temperatures may seem relatively mild to those from colder climes, it’s a sharp fall from Taiwan’s average January temperature of 16° C.

Taiwan has a subtropical climate so most homes don’t have central heating.

“In our experience, it’s not the actual temperature, but the sudden drop that’s too sudden for people’s circulatory systems,’’ said a city official quoted by AP news agency.

Many of those who died were elderly people suffering from heart trouble and shortness of breath.

The New Taipei City Police Department found one man dead on the street on Sunday, but most of the big freeze’s victims were discovered indoors, according to the Taipei Times.

Temperatures in Taipei are forecast to rise again in the coming days, even to as high as 17°C (63° F) on Tuesday.

For some, it was their first time seeing snow in person, and many flocked to the mountains to view the spectacle in all its glory.

Japanese selfie sweetie

Japan

Meanwhile, at least seven people died and more than 600 were injured in Japan as record levels of snow fell across the country, according to Kyodo News service.

Transport was disrupted and weather warnings have been issued for avalanches and icy roads.


Mainland China

The cold spell in China has been blamed for the deaths of four strawberry farmers, who died of carbon monoxide poisoning when they turned up the heat in a greenhouse in Anhui province in the east, according to the Xinhua News Agency.

One woman fell to her death in the southwest of China when the railing of her 24th-floor balcony broke as she leaned over to look at the first snow in Chongqing in 20 years.

On Sunday, the southern city of Guangzhou experienced its first snow since 1967.


Hong Kong

Temperatures in Hong Kong dropped to 3°C (37° F) Sunday – the lowest in almost 60 years. One hundred and thirty people were trapped by the inclement weather, and a snow day was called in schools across the city on Monday.


South Korea

I suspect they don't have a lot of snow-clearing equipment here

Over 86,000 people were left stranded on South Korea’s Jeju Island after heavy snowfall prompted the closure of the island’s airport on Saturday. Operations resumed only three days later.

South Korea received 12 centimeters (4.7 inches) of the white stuff – its heaviest snowfall in over 30 years, according to The Washington Times.

Heat Record: 2015 was Hottest Year by Huge Margin, Sort of

El Nino partly to blame, but human activity was the main driver, NASA and NOAA scientists say
The Associated Press 

Caution: there is a lot more hot air in this article than just the global temperature!

2015's global average temperature was the hottest ever by the widest margin on record, NASA and NOAA reported Wednesday.

Last year wasn't just the Earth's hottest year on record — it left a century of high temperature marks in the dust.

The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration and NASA announced Wednesday that 2015 was by far the hottest year in 136 years of record keeping.

NOAA said 2015's average temperature was 
14.79 degrees Celsius (58.62 degrees Fahrenheit), passing 
2014 by a record margin of 0.16 C (0.29 F). 
That's 0.90 C (1.62 F) above the 20th-century average. NASA, which measures differently, said 2015 was 0.13 C (0.23 F) warmer than the record set in 2014.

A graphic shows what parts of the Earth were warmer and cooler than average in 2015. It was the warmest year since modern record-keeping began in 1880, according to a new analysis by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. (Scientific Visualization Studio/Goddard Space Flight Center)

Because of the wide margin over 2014, NASA calculated that 2015 was a record with 94 per cent certainty, about double the certainty it had last year when announcing 2014 as a record.

Just want to point out that measuring the temperature of the earth's surface is an extremely complex process. That NASA and NOAA use different methods of calculating the global temperature and still come up with similar results should inspire a little confidence. 

The 94% certainty announced by NASA ought to also inspire some confidence although one wonders why the process requires a certainty rating in the first place. It would imply a certain amount of 'estimation' or perhaps, 'guesstimation' involved in the calculations. Such estimations could be influenced by the hope of a desired outcome.

4th record in 11 years

Although 2015 is now the hottest on record, it was the fourth time in 11 years that Earth broke annual marks for high temperature.

"It's getting to the point where breaking record is the norm," Texas Tech climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe said. "It's almost unusual when we're not breaking a record."

A boy cools off in a public fountain in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, October 16, 2015, when temperatures reached a record-breaking 42.8 degrees Celsius. The sharp temperature increase in 2015 was driven in part by El Nino, scientists say. (Pilar Olivares/Reuters)

Scientists blame a combination of El Nino and increasing man-made global warming.

Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University said a strong El Nino, like this year's, can add about a third of a degree of warming to Earth's temperature.

This year's El Nino is currently the 2nd strongest on record (since 1950) and is very close to the strongest El Nino on record in 1997/98. That event caused a temperature rise of about 2/3rds of a degree above the norm, and above the 1997 temperature, not 1/3rd.

This year's increase of 0.16 or 0.13 degrees above the 2014 temperature is 1/6th to 1/8th of a degree. For such a strong El Nino, one might have expected more. 

Certainly, El Nino is not done yet and there is a bit of a lag in temperatures, so 2016 may well make up some of that short-fall; it will be interesting to watch. But as with all El Nino events, the temperature will drop the following year to normal levels leaving 2017 to be a cool year.

"Records will happen during El Nino years due to the extra warming boost they provide," Mann said in an email. "That boost of warmth however sits upon the ramp of global warming."

He's correct here, certainly, although the statement, "increasing man-made global warming", has yet to be proven. That ANY global  warming is anthropogenic has yet to be proven. Since only 3-4% of all CO2 that enters the atmosphere is caused by man's activities, any influence on the global temperature could only be very slight, if at all.

Prof Murry Salby has clearly shown that increased CO2 in the atmosphere is a consequence of increased temperature, not the other way about. That is, increased CO2 follows increased temperature because most CO2 comes out of the ground and its production increases with the temperature of the ground, and to a lesser degree, the moisture content.

And it's likely to happen this year, too. NASA scientists and others said there's a good chance that this year will pass 2015 as the hottest year on record, thanks to El Nino.

Road markings appear distorted during a heat wave, in New Delhi, India, 27 May 2015. At that time, more than 1,150 people were reported dead from the heat wave. (Harish Tyagi/EPA)

"2015 will be difficult to beat, but you say that almost every year and you get surprised," said Victor Gensini, a meteorology professor at the College of DuPage outside of Chicago.

Measurements from Japan and the University of California at Berkeley also show 2015 is the warmest on record. Satellite measurements, which scientists say don't measure where we live and have a larger margin of error, calculate that last year was only the third hottest since 1979.

Satellite measurements are used to calculate the temperature of the lower atmosphere and not just the surface of the earth. There are many issues affecting the accuracy of these calculations which is why it has a larger margin of error. Nevertheless, it is curious that satellite measurements found 2015 to be only the 3rd warmest year on record.

A heat wave took a heavy toll in Pakistan.

A man attempts to cool off in the worst heat wave to hit Karachi, Pakistan, in 35 years. There were more than 1,000 deaths as of June 25, with temperatures as high as 45 C since June 20. (Akhtar Soomro/Reuters)

Record-breaking heat hit Europe, too.

People cool off at Virgen de Regla beach in Chipiona, Spain, on Aug. 1, 2015 as locals and vacationers alike flock to the coast to beat a heat wave that has been bringing consistently high temperatures to parts of Europe this summer. (Marcelo del Pozo/Reuters)

US Scientists: Global Warming Pause 'No Longer Valid', Really?

If you ever wanted to give global warming nay-sayers more ammunition, you could hardly do a better job than this report

Land temperatures, December 2010

By Helen Briggs
BBC Environment correspondent

US researchers say new evidence casts doubt on the idea that global warming has "slowed" in recent years.

A US government laboratory says the much talked about "pause" is an illusion caused by inaccurate data.

Updated observations show temperatures did not plateau, say National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) scientists.

The warming rate over the past 15 years is "virtually identical" to the last century, they report in Science.

Dr Thomas Karl of NOAA, who led the new analysis, said: "We would hope that it would inform the general public that the temperature today really is continuing to warm."

This suggests that the much-discussed recent slowdown in global temperatures is far less pronounced than previously thought

Dr Ed Hawkins, Climate scientist, University of Reading

Commenting on the study, Dr Ed Hawkins, climate scientist at the University of Reading, said: "This suggests that the much-discussed recent slowdown in global temperatures is far less pronounced than previously thought."

One begins to suspect that the 'hiatus' or pause in global warming was a problem for climate change scientists. It shouldn't be; a pause should have been expected, perhaps even a brief drop in the earth's temperature. This is the kind of thing that makes me suspicious.

'Hiatus'

The idea of a global warming "hiatus" arose from questions over why the trend of warming temperatures appeared to be stalling recently compared to the later part of the 20th Century.

There are still gaps in data, such as in the Arctic

Various explanations have been put forward, including changes in volcanic and solar activity, and ocean currents.

The new analysis corrects for ocean observations made using different methods as well as including new data on surface temperatures.

Dr Peter Stott of the Met Office Hadley Centre said the results "still show the warming trend over the past 15 years has been slower than previous 15 year periods" and "global temperatures have not increased smoothly".

Curious! Dr Stott is not quoting the NOAA report but rather is referring to IPCC data. As you will see, immediately below, NOAA has decided that the rate of global warming has increased over the past 15 years. Has Stott rejected NOAA's findings? Unfortunately, the BBC reporter did not seem to pick up on the discrepancy.

Dr Stott's comment is quite reasonable - one would not expect global warming to be smooth and consistent. There are so many factors that influence global temperatures that a smooth trend line can't be possible. NOAAs smoothing of that trend-line by the addition of 'new' data and the rejection of some old data, is therefore suspect and should be scrutinized very thoroughly, if not completely dismissed.

"This means natural variability in the climate system or other external factors has still had an influence and it's important we continue research to fully understand all the processes at work," he said.

IPCC

"NOAA - how long can you tread water?"

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global average temperatures have increased by around 0.05C per decade in the period between 1998 and 2012.

This compares with an average of 0.12 per decade between 1951 and 2012.

The new analysis suggests a figure of 0.116 per decade for 2000-2014, compared with 0.113 for 1950-1999. An actual, though slight, increase in the warming trend! Who saw that coming?

"The IPCC's statement of two years ago - that the global surface temperature 'has shown a much smaller increasing linear trend over the past 15 years than over the past 30 to 60 years' - is no longer valid," said Dr Karl, the director of Noaa's National Climatic Data Center.