"I am the Way, the Truth, and the Life"

Father God, thank you for the love of the truth you have given me. Please bless me with the wisdom, knowledge and discernment needed to always present the truth in an attitude of grace and love. Use this blog and Northwoods Ministries for your glory. Help us all to read and to study Your Word without preconceived notions, but rather, let scripture interpret scripture in the presence of the Holy Spirit. All praise to our Lord and Saviour Jesus Christ.

Please note: All my writings and comments appear in bold italics in this colour
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts

Thursday, June 6, 2024

D-Day Heroes > Where did they come from? Ronald Reagan, Joe Biden, Ben Shapiro

 

The question we should be asking on the 80th anniversary of D-Day is the question Reagan asked: where do we find such men? The Greatest Generation was produced by a generation of churchgoing Christian mothers and fathers. 4% illegitimacy rate. 96% belief in God. 73% church membership. We've rejected all of those things and produced generations of narcissists instead.



Thursday, December 26, 2019

A Christian Crisis in Gaza and the West Bank

War on Christianity in the Middle East is mostly Islamic driven
..
In the Gaza Strip, the Christian population has plummeted from about 3,000 a decade ago to an estimated 1,000 today, most of them Greek Orthodox
By JPOST EDITORIAL 

Palestinians light Christmas tree in Manger Square outside the Church of the Nativity in Bethlehem, November 30, 2019 (photo credit: REUTERS/MUSSA QAWASMA)

As Christians celebrate Christmas around the world, it’s worthwhile to focus on the Christian population in the region.

According to the Central Bureau of Statistics, there are some 177,000 Christians in Israel, a growth of 1.5% from last year. More than three-quarters (77.5%) of Christians living in Israel are Arabs, representing 7.2% of all Arab Israeli citizens, the CBS said. The majority of non-Arab Christians living in Israel immigrated together with Jewish family members under the Law of Return.

Contrast these data with the figures in a report published by then-British foreign secretary Jeremy Hunt in July. The report found that the number of Christians in the Middle East has dwindled from 20% of the population a century ago to just 5% – most notably in the Palestinian territories, where they have dropped to below 1.5%.

“We’ve all been asleep on the watch when it comes to
the persecution of Christians,”  Hunt said.

The organization Open Doors put “the Palestinian Territories” in 49th place – out of 50 – on its World Watch List, an annual report on the global persecution of Christians. The report cited “Islamic oppression” as the main source of persecution, adding that “Islamic extremist militants are also present in the West Bank, causing Christians to fear being attacked,” and that the persecution is particularly brutal for converts to Christianity.

At least three incidents have affected Christians living under Palestinian Authority rule this year, according to a report by the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies: A mob targeted the Christian village of Jifna near Ramallah, causing significant property damage and terrifying its residents, and a Maronite church in Bethlehem and an Anglican church near Ramallah were vandalized.

“Though the Christians in the PA avoid saying so publicly, many of them fear – with good reason – that Muslim aggression against them will only escalate,” wrote Edy Cohen, a researcher at the center. “Such fears are all the stronger in light of the thunderous silence of the Western [and Israeli] media, in the face of the Christian minority’s ongoing disappearance from the PA and Islamic lands in general.”

He added, pointedly, that “the ongoing international neglect of the plight of the Christians under PA rule can only lead to the vanishing of Christianity from the place where it emerged.”

In the Gaza Strip, the Christian population has plummeted from about 3,000 a decade ago to an estimated 1,000 today, most of them Greek Orthodox.

On Sunday, the Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT) reversed a decision made earlier this month, making the welcome announcement that in accordance with “security orders,” Gaza Christians would be allowed to travel to the holy cities of Jerusalem and Bethlehem, and elsewhere in Judea and Samaria, for Christmas.

The situation of Christians in Bethlehem, the birthplace of Jesus, has deteriorated dramatically in the last century, and especially since the PA took control of the city in 1995. In 1947, Christians comprised about 85% of the city’s population, but that figure had plunged to 16% by 2016, and is estimated since then.

Bethlehem’s mayor at the time said that, “Due to the stress – either physical or psychological – and the bad economic situation, many people are emigrating: either Christians or Muslims, but it is more apparent among Christians because they already are a minority.”

A study by the Pew Research Center found that the decline in the Arab Christian population was both a result of a lower birth rate among Christians compared to Muslims and the fact that Christians were more likely to emigrate than any other religious group. A statistical analysis of the Christian exodus cited a lack of economic and educational opportunities among a community known for its middle-class status and higher education.

Christianity is the world’s largest religion, with an estimated 2.4 billion adherents (almost a third of the world’s 7.8 billion people). While it may seem ironic that the only place in the Middle East where Christians are thriving is the Jewish state, it is also a cause for concern. 

We wish our Christian readers a happy Christmas – and pray along with them for those undergoing persecution for practicing their faith.



Saturday, June 1, 2019

‘Absolute No Go’: German Police Officers Injured in Clashes with Bicycle-Throwing Asylum Seekers

FILE PHOTO: Police officers walk on the premises of the Stephansposching refugee shelter, Germany,
October 24, 2018. ©  Global Look Press / Armin Weigel

Five police officers have been injured in violent clashes with asylum seekers, who have staged a riot in a shelter in the state of Bavaria, Germany. German crime statistics also show that migrant violence is becoming a new trend.

Police were deployed to a large refugee shelter located in the small Bavarian community of Stephansposching on Friday evening following reports of asylum seekers going on a rampage. When the officers arrived at the scene, they were confronted by a group of some 30 aggressive refugees and migrants, Bavarian Radio reports, citing police.

The officers were harassed and even spit at in the face from the very start. The situation then dramatically escalated when they attempted to detain the alleged ringleader. In response, the group assaulted the officers and started beating them. Some asylum seekers even threw bicycles at them.

The rioters then attempted to prevent the police from leaving, with one man jumping at a police car’s side window while others built barricades and blocked the shelter gates with stones and cable-reels to stop them from escaping the scene. The officers, apparently, had to leave their car there as, according to Bavarian Radio, they only managed to flee the scene by getting over a construction fence.

It was only after large reinforcements arrived that the police finally managed to restore order in the facility. Five police officers, who were initially caught in the riot, sustained various injuries, including cuts as well as eye and rib injuries. Four of them were admitted to hospital.

Police initially detained 15 people but only six of them were arrested. Those arrested face charges of a serious breach of the peace and property damage, as well as resistance to law enforcement and assault. The suspected ringleader initially managed to flee the shelter as the officers were assaulted by other rioters and the police had to use a helicopter to track him down. He eventually surrendered to police several hours later.

A regional police union chief condemned the incident in Stephansposching by calling it absolutely unacceptable, and decrying the lack of respect the asylum seekers demonstrated to the police. “This is an absolute no go,” he told Bavarian Radio, adding that it is “troubling that police officers were injured in the refugee shelter again.”

Again?

It is not the first time Germany’s refugee shelters hit the news following violent clashes between police and asylum seekers. In early May, police officers and a rescue service crew were pelted with stones and bottles as they sought to retrieve the body of a woman who was found dead on the premises of another shelter in the Bavarian town of Regensburg.

A group of some 40 asylum seekers gathered in front of the shelter and sought to prevent German law enforcement from entering the building. The officers were again harassed and attacked by the refugees and migrants, who later retreated to the shelter and barricaded themselves inside, while pelting the police with stones and bottles which they threw from the windows.

In the end, 20 patrol cars and 50 officers were needed to stop the riot. No one was injured in the incident, though. According to the Bild daily, there were also “no indications” that the dead woman in the shelter had fallen victim of a crime.

So, what was the point of the rioting?

Migrant violence against Germans on the rise – police

A recent German police report published in April paints an even grimmer picture as it indicates that the number of violent crimes perpetrated by migrants and refugees against Germans has been on the increase in recent years.

Of course it has. How could it not be so? It will continue to get worse. Mother Merkel has picked a good time to abandon the ship she so effectively scuttled in 2015.

One in ten victims of violent offenses in Germany in 2018 had been assaulted by migrants, the German Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) said. The statistics on “violent crimes” included murders and contract hits, sexual assaults as well as particularly brutal physical abuse and robberies. Out of about one million victims of such crimes in Germany last year, 102,000 were assaulted by migrants. The number of such crimes committed by immigrants and asylum seekers against Germans increased by seven percent in comparison to 2017, the police said.

In particular, 230 Germans have been victims of attempted murders and contract hits, in which at least one non-German citizen was identified as a suspect – twice as many as in 2017. More than 100 people were killed.

More than 3,200 Germans were sexually assaulted by immigrants and asylum seekers in 2018, police added. The total number of violent crimes committed by foreigners against Germans has risen by 19 percent in comparison to 2017.

At the same time, only 8,455 asylum seekers and refugees were victims of violent crimes – mostly infliction of bodily harm – perpetrated by Germans. That amounts to 18 percent of all violence-related cases, in which foreigners seeking protection in Germany were registered as victims. In most cases, refugees and asylum seekers were attacked by other non-Germans, according to police.



Saturday, October 13, 2018

The Shocking Truth That Some of Us Already Knew - Some Scientific Data are Fudged

When scientists want their data fudged
and why you should care

Some statisticians have been asked to falsify 
significance of research results, new study finds
Kelly Crowe · CBC News ·

A shocking revelation during a casual conversation prompted a New York epidemiologist to investigate the ethically dubious things statisticians are sometimes asked to do when analyzing research findings. (sasirin pamai/Shutterstock)

This is an excerpt from Second Opinion, a weekly roundup of eclectic and under-the-radar health and medical science news emailed to subscribers every Saturday morning. If you haven't subscribed yet, you can do that by clicking here.


How often are you asked to do something unethical? That was the blunt question at the heart of a surprising survey of statisticians released this week.

The answer? Many statisticians reported that scientists routinely asked them to fudge data.

McGill University bioethicist Jonathan Kimmelman said the results should be concerning to everyone.

"We use [statistical] information to make decisions about what drugs to take, what foods to eat, what policies to make, what chemicals to ban," Kimmelman said. "It's crucial to protect the integrity of that data."

Ralph Katz, a New York epidemiologist, got the idea for the study after he casually asked a statistician if scientists ever wanted him to manipulate their data to get a better result.

"I just asked him one day when we were chatting. And he said 'frequently.'"

"We use [statistical] information to make decisions
about what drugs to take, what foods to eat,
what policies to make, what chemicals to ban. 

- Jonathan Kimmelman, McGill University bioethicist

Shocked, Katz asked other statisticians and realized it was a common experience among the mathematical whizzes who analyze research results.

"They talk about what they've been asked to do over beers, after the meetings of the day." Katz said.

But there was no data to reveal the extent of the problem, so Katz conducted a formal survey sent to a randomly selected group of statisticians.

Published this week in the Annals of Internal Medicine, the ethically dubious things the statisticians were asked to do included altering data records, falsifying statistical significance, and stressing only the significant findings.

"Greater than 20 per cent, sometimes up to 50 per cent, said these had occurred a multiple number of times over the last five years," said Katz, adding that this does not mean all research is compromised.

"There are a lot of consultations being done where this is not happening, but it is alarming how often it is happening."

Most people are unaware that statisticians have a critical role in research. It's their job to analyze complex arrays of data to determine if research findings are genuine.

"What a statistician is helping a scientist do is to cut through randomness and to cut through bias to see relationships that are likely to be real," said Kimmelman.

Part of the problem is that researchers consult statisticians too late, expecting them to fix problems after the data has already been gathered.

'Jarring' experience

It's a frustration for Andrew Althouse, a biostatistician at the University of Pittsburgh.

"I feel like I've been asked to do quite a few of these at least once" said Althouse. "I do my best to stand my ground and I've never falsified data."

Althouse describes one troubling experience when a surgeon pressured him to provide data on 10-year survival rates after a particular surgical intervention. The problem — the 10-year data didn't exist because the hospital hadn't been using the procedure long enough.

"The surgeon argued with me that it was really important and pleaded with me to find some way to do this," Althouse said. "He eventually relented but it was one of the most jarring examples I've experienced."

Sometimes researchers are asking because they just don't know enough about statistics. But Kimmelman said there is a more disturbing possibility.

"A less benign interpretation is that they actually know what they're doing and they have questionable professional integrity."

"Dishonest statistical analyses can lead to false discoveries," said Althouse, adding that young statisticians are more vulnerable.

"If you're a junior person who's faced for the first time telling a surgeon you work for that you don't want to do something they told you do to, that can be a pretty intimidating situation."

'Strong incentives for people to fudge'

The survey did not ask how often the statisticians agreed to tinker with the numbers. But the results warrant further investigation, said Russell Localio, a biostatistician at the University of Pennsylvania and lead author of an editorial published along with the survey.

"Given the number of respondents and the frequency and nature of the reported requests, these findings suggest that requests for inappropriate statistical methods is a real issue that needs to be studied further and addressed," he said in an email to CBC News. 

"If statisticians are saying no, that's great," said Kimmelman. "But to me this is still a major concern."

Kimmelman does his own research using statistics. And he's not surprised that there's pressure to embellish results.

"Everyone has had papers that are turned down by journals because your results were not statistically significant," he said.

"Getting tenure, getting pay raises, all sorts of things depend on getting into those journals so there is really strong incentives for people to fudge or shape their findings in a way that it makes it more palatable for those journals."

"And what that shows is that there are lots of instances where there is threat of adulteration of the evidence that we use."

It is not just in medical science where data are fudged, although I am confident in the lack of integrity of some pharmaceutical companies, but there has been proven to be manipulation of data even in the atmospheric sciences. I do believe there is global warming. I also believe that there is very little real data linking it firmly to carbon emissions. And, I believe there is far too much hyperbole and hysteria being promoted by scientists and pseudo-scientists.

Many an environmentalist believes scientific data are sacred. Anything that can be manipulated by man for personal gain is vulnerable to fraud, even science. 



Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Majority of Russians Oppose Decriminalization of Domestic Violence, Poll Shows

Russians change their minds as domestic violence increases

A police officer near a bus © Natalia Seliverstova / Sputnik

Over half of the Russian public believes that domestic violence should be treated as a criminal offence and only a quarter of Russians support the recent decriminalization of first-time offenders.

On Tuesday, Russian think tank Public Opinion Endowment released the results of the poll on attitudes to the decriminalization of domestic violence. The poll revealed that 55 percent of Russians think that the law should list domestic violence as a criminal offense.

Some 25 percent of poll participants said that they supported the recent decriminalization of domestic violence (it still remains a civil offense and is punishable by fines or civil arrest). A total of 21 percent of respondents could not answer the question directly.

In the same poll 79 percent of participants said that domestic violence cannot be justified and 11 percent said it was entirely dependent on the situation. Some 10 percent of respondents could not give an unambiguous answer to the question.

When researchers asked Russians how common they believed it was for families to face domestic violence, 42 percent said that domestic violence took place in the minority of Russian homes. Some 24 percent think that the majority of Russian families face domestic violence, at least from time to time, and 19 percent found the question too difficult to answer.

Russia decriminalized ‘first-time’ domestic violence in February 2017. The sponsors of the motion justified the move by explaining how a legal inconsistency had arisen several months earlier: starting in mid-2016, first-time attacks on people who were not family members or relatives were no longer treated under the criminal code, but the civil code. The situation with first-time attacks on family members remained unchanged – potentially leading to a situation where parents could, theoretically at least, assault their children with impunity, while complete strangers could not.

Still the decriminalization sparked staunch opposition in the mass media and on social networks, as well as concerned statements from abroad. Russian lawmakers had responded to the criticism by saying they were motivated by the opinions of their voters and public opinion polls, which at the time had shown that the majority of Russians support the idea.

A year after the changes came into force, the head of Russia’s Central Investigative Committee said that the number of crimes against women and children had increased and suggested that there may be a link.



Friday, June 29, 2018

Along with Annapolis Attack, How Many People Were Shot Across U.S. Yesterday?

You need to know that I am not taking sides on this issue; I often take both sides. Guns will never, and should never be eliminated from the US. Assault weapons, on the other hand, should not be available to the public. 

Police officers secure the area after multiple people were shot at an office building housing The Capital Gazette newspaper in Annapolis, Md., on Thursday. (Jose Luis Magana/Associated Press)

U.S. gun violence

Five people were killed, and two wounded, when a gunman burst into the offices of the Capital Gazette newspaper in Annapolis, Md., yesterday.

The dead — four journalists and a sales assistant — and wounded were not the only victims of gun violence in America on Thursday.

By this tracker's count, there were at least 64 other shootings across the United States yesterday, resulting in 22 deaths and 37 injuries.

A man holds a copy of The Capital Gazette near the scene of a shooting at the newspaper's office on Friday in Annapolis, Md. A man armed with smoke grenades and a shotgun attacked journalists in the building Thursday. (Patrick Semansky/Associated Press)

And June 28 was a relatively slow day for gunplay.

On Wednesday, there were at least 93 gun incidents in the U.S., causing 30 more deaths and 83 woundings.

To date in 2018, there have been almost 28,500 shootings or attempted shootings in the U.S. More than 7,000 people have been killed, and just short of 13,500 have been injured.

Over the past four years, the U.S. has averaged more than 56,500 shootings annually, causing 14,200 deaths and almost 28,000 injuries.

It appears that gun violence is increasing in the United States — or people are doing a better job of keeping track of it.


Four-year-old Demi Gonzalez of New York stands among thousands of empty shoes owned by or representing deceased victims of gun-related violence in the United States, during a May 2 protest near the headquarters of the Smith & Wesson gun company in Springfield. Her cousin Christopher Matthews was accidentally shot to death by a 12-year-old friend. (DRIEGELAB)

In 2014, there were 12,556 deaths. In 2017, 15,631 people were shot and killed.

So far 2018, is running closer to the four-year average, on pace for:

56,800 shootings
14,150 deaths
26,894 gun injuries

The number of mass shootings — defined as four or more shot and/or killed — seems to be declining, with 154 recorded through almost half the year, on pace for somewhere in the low 300s. (Although July and August are traditionally busy months for gun violence.) In 2017, there were 735 mass shootings, up from 671 in 2016, and 335 in 2015.

In the past week, the U.S. has experienced 15 mass shootings, including yesterday's Maryland attack. Nine people have been killed and 58 more wounded.

Gun violence happens in big cities, like Chicago — where 13 people shot on Wednesday and Thursday alone — and in places you might consider relatively safe. There were two mass shootings at birthday parties in the early hours on Sunday — one in Florida, the other in North Carolina.

Protestors march through the streets at the 'End of School Year Peace March and Rally' in Chicago on June 15 to kick off a national gun-reform tour by students from Parkland, Fla., site of one of the worst U.S. school shootings. (Jim Young/AFP/Getty Images)

Last weekend in Gary, Ind., there were four separate shootings, resulting in one death and 16 injuries.

"These senseless and egregious acts must stop," Richard Allen, the local police chief, told reporters. "Not only does it cause an emotional drain on the spirit of our city, but it casts a shadow on the progress we have made."

Last year, Gary — a city of 76,000 — had 46 murders and 118 gunshot wound victims. It has the third-highest murder rate of all American municipalities.

I live in Abbotsford, B.C. Canada, in a district of 2 cities, Abbotsford and Mission - total population 180,000. For the past couple years we have had a drug war play out in our area giving us one of the highest, if not the highest ratio of murders-per-100,000 people in Canada - 5.53. There were 10 murders in our district in 2017. Before the drug war we averaged 4 murders per year and in 2011 had not one single murder.

Gary, Indiana, had a ratio of 60.5 murders per 100,000 in 2017. If Abbotsford-Mission had that ratio there would have been more than 100 murders or 10 times the current rate.

I don't know how to fix it! I suspect very few of the murders in Gary were committed by assault weapons. I would like to see them banned anyway as it might save the lives of a few children in the next school massacre. If that shooting is at your child's school, I suspect you might be glad they weren't using an assault weapon. But banning assault weapons is just one small band aid on a system riddled with bullet holes. It may slow down the bleeding in one spot, but you are still going to bleed out eventually. 

I suggest a Congressional Inquiry into what can be done to address this problem which has reached way beyond ridiculous in proportion.


Tuesday, May 2, 2017

6 Blacklisted Hate Preachers ‘Not Welcome’ in Denmark

& Study by Statistics Denmark reveals the 20% of Danes will be foreign-born or descendants of immigrants by 2060 

© nyidanmark.dk

Denmark has banned the entry of six foreign preachers for at least two years, following the publication of a blacklist of those it says have spread hate speech.

The blacklist, consisting of just six people, is dominated by controversial Muslim preachers and also features the Evangelical Florida pastor Terry Jones, who gained notoriety for burning copies of the Koran.

The list comprises Saudis Salman al-Ouda and Muhammad Al-Arifi, Americans Kamal El-Mekki and Jones, Syrian Mohammed Rateb al-Nabulsi and Canadian Bilal Philips.

The Danish Immigration and Integration Ministry believes that the blacklist "sends a clear signal that travelling fanatical religious preachers who try to undermine our democracy and fundamental values of freedom and human rights are not welcome in Denmark."

Immigration and Integration Minister Inger Støjberg echoed these sentiments.

“The government won’t accept hate preachers coming to Denmark to preach hate against Danish society and indoctrinate listeners to commit violence against women and children, spread ideas of a caliphate and undermine our founding values,” the Copenhagen Post cites her as saying.

“So I am naturally very pleased that it’s now clear to everyone that these people are not welcome in Denmark,” she added.

“There’s a matter of principle in saying that there are people we don’t want on Danish soil, coming here and preaching hate. We do not want people here if they are coming to incite terror or to incite assault or violence against Jews and homosexuals,” Støjberg told broadcaster DR.

The center-right government announced plans last May to create the list, following the airing of a hidden-camera documentary ‘Moskeerne bag sløret’ (The mosques behind the veil) which exposed radical preachers in Danish mosques.

The immigration authority will continuously assess which preachers should be placed on the blacklist.



1 in 5 Danes to be immigrants or immigrant descendants by 2060, statistics show

© Nils Meilvang / Scanpix / Reuters

One-fifth of the Danish population will be either foreign-born or of foreign descent by 2060, according to the latest statistics presented to the Danish parliament.

The figures, compiled by Statistics Denmark (DST) for the Ministry of Refugee, Immigration and Integration Affairs, show that around every eighth person will be from a non-Western country. Currently, immigrants form around 13 percent of the Danish population, with non-Western immigrants forming 8 percent.

One would expect the vast majority of 'non-Western' immigrants are Muslim and the percentage of Muslims in Denmark are certain to increase more rapidly than any other religion or non-religion. Consequently, I expect the percentage of Muslims in Denmark to exceed 15% by 2060.

Is that a bad thing? According to Dr Peter Hammond what often happens in countries where Islam is rising, looks like this:

At this point (5-10%), they will work to get the ruling government to allow them to rule themselves (within their ghettos) under Sharia, the Islamic Law. The ultimate goal of Islamists is to establish Sharia law over the entire world.

When Muslims approach 10% of the population, they tend to increase lawlessness as a means of complaint about their conditions. In Paris , we are already seeing car-burnings. Any non-Muslim action offends Islam, and results in uprisings and threats, such as in Amsterdam , with opposition to Mohammed cartoons and films about Islam. Such tensions are seen daily, particularly in Muslim sections in France and Sweden.


After reaching 20%, nations can expect hair-trigger rioting, jihad militia formations, sporadic killings, and the burnings of Christian churches and Jewish synagogues.


The statistics prompted a variety of reactions from local politicians.

“These are quite dramatic figures that I think should be an eye-opener for everyone,” Dan Jorgensen of the Social Democrats told the newspaper Berlingske. “If we do not bring the numbers down, it will be a completely different Denmark we will be faced with in a very short time.”

“Many of these people have difficulty being integrated into the labor market and live in parallel societies.”

Martin Henriksen of the right-wing Danish People's Party, known for its anti-immigration standpoint, condemned the figures.

"It's appalling. It’s not surprising, but it is appalling that it goes so strongly with population trends in Denmark,” he said.

Some, however, were more positive.

“If the Danes do not start to have more children, they must come from somewhere else,” said Sofie Carsten Nielsen of the center-left Danish Social Liberal Party.

“Now there is potential in the form of the many immigrant children and descendants, who in 2060 will have a great work potential.”

This was a view echoed by Steen Nielsen, the deputy director of the Confederation of Danish Industry, who agreed that immigrants will be needed to make up for the gradually shrinking labor pool.

“As I look ahead, we will increasingly need foreign employees, because it does not look like Danish labor will increase,” Nielsen told Berlingske.

While the DST noted that population projections are not an exact science and make many assumptions about future birth and death rates, experts warned Berlingske that changing demographics could cause social, cultural and economic tensions in Denmark. For example, immigrants who fail to find a job have to be supported by benefits, while culture clashes over issues like segregated swimming lessons will rise. Currently, the Ministry of Finance estimates non-Western immigration costs the Danish treasury 33 billion kroner (around US$4.8 billion) a year, while Western immigration generates a profit.

However, many of these immigrants are currently children who cannot contribute to the economy until they grow up, so better integration of immigrants and their descendants in the future may avoid the worst of these consequences.

Statements testify that there is a huge integration task ahead of us, if not we will have a society with greater inequality and more segregation,” said Rose Skaksen, research director at the Rockwool Foundation think tank.

Even in spite of these possible changes, however, Denmark’s foreign-born population will still be lower than in some other Western countries such as Switzerland and Australia, in both of which foreigners already form around a quarter of the population. The United Arab Emirates has one of the highest foreign-born populations in the world, with almost 90 percent of its residents hailing from another country.