"I am the Way, the Truth, and the Life"

Father God, thank you for the love of the truth you have given me. Please bless me with the wisdom, knowledge and discernment needed to always present the truth in an attitude of grace and love. Use this blog and Northwoods Ministries for your glory. Help us all to read and to study Your Word without preconceived notions, but rather, let scripture interpret scripture in the presence of the Holy Spirit. All praise to our Lord and Saviour Jesus Christ.

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Showing posts with label energy crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label energy crisis. Show all posts

Sunday, August 31, 2025

European Economics > Unemployment hits ten-year high in Germany; France consigning next generation to a lifetime of debt

 

German unemployment hits ten-year high

The country’s economy is facing a third consecutive year without growth
German unemployment hits ten-year high











Unemployment in Germany has risen to its highest level in a decade, official figures released on Friday show. The labor report comes as the country’s faltering economy risks contracting for a third consecutive year.

The figures show the number of unemployed individuals topping 3 million in August for the first time since 2015. The month-on-month increase came in at 46,000 to put the tally at 3.02 million in seasonally unadjusted terms, or 6.4% of the population.

Federal Employment Agency chief Andrea Nahles blamed the labor market struggles on Germany’s weak economy. The EU’s largest economy shrank by 0.2% in 2024 after contracting by 0.3% in 2023. This year, following a 0.3% expansion in the first quarter, output fell by 0.3% in Q2 as uncertainty grew over new US tariffs. The International Monetary Fund recently warned that Germany could face a third consecutive year without growth.

Germany’s economic downturn has coincided with Berlin’s decision to halt imports of low-cost Russian energy, which was vital for its industry. European gas prices rose sharply after Russian pipeline deliveries largely stopped and the Nord Stream pipelines were sabotaged later that year. Before the sanctions, Germany sourced 55% of its gas from Russia, but has since shifted to pricier liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports from the US and Qatar.

Moscow has denounced the Western sanctions as illegal and ineffective, arguing they have instead backfired on the countries that imposed them.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated last week that Germany is facing a “structural crisis” rather than temporary “weakness,” and said steering the economy toward growth has proven more difficult than expected. Key industries such as the automotive segment are “no longer truly competitive,” he added.

The country’s automotive sector has shed more than 51,000 jobs just in the past year alone, according to recent data.

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French PM admits debt will devastate next generation

Paris has spiraled into uncontrolled borrowing for the comfort of “boomers,” Francois Bayrou has said
French PM admits debt will devastate next generation











France has saddled the younger generations with debts they’ll be paying off their entire lives, French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou has said. Paris continuously borrows in the interest of “boomers” and “certain political parties,” he added.

On Monday, Bayrou said he urged President Emmanuel Macron to reconvene parliament by September 8 for a confidence vote to gauge support for his €43.8 billion ($50.9 billion) austerity measures plan. The prime minister has long sounded the alarm over the country’s spiraling budget deficit, which hit 5.8% of GDP last year – almost double the EU 3% ceiling.

The primary victims of the government debt will be the “youngest French people,” Bayrou said in an interview with French broadcaster TF1 on Wednesday.

“They’re the victims; they’re the ones who will have to pay the debt for the rest of their lives,” he said, adding that Paris is trying to convince them that more borrowing is needed.

“All this for the comfort of certain political parties and for the comfort of the so-called boomers.”

His proposals to battle France’s $3.98 billion government debt have included scrapping public holidays, slashing public sector jobs, as well as welfare and pensions cuts. The program has been criticized by left-wing parties, who have accused Paris of prioritizing military spending over social welfare.

Macron has promised to increase France’s military budget to €64 billion by 2027, citing external threats. Paris has warned of a potential war scenario within the next five years, naming Russia as one of the principal threats – claims which Moscow has dismissed.

Bayrou’s proposed budget has not been well received by the French public, polls suggest. While most French people agree with the prime minister’s alarmism about the national debt, 76% believe his budget will not help, and 82% see it as socially unfair, according to an Elabe survey from Tuesday.

Around 81% want a new prime minister to be elected, and 67% called for Macron’s resignation, according to Elabe’s poll. Nearly three-quarters say they want Bayrou to fail in the vote on September 8, which is to be his ninth no-confidence motion.

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Friday, August 29, 2025

Economics > UK on brink of economic collapse

 

Will it take a financial collapse to get Britain to make sensible decisions on migrants, Ukraine's proxy war, stupid military expenditures, and soaring debts?


UK teeters on economic collapse

– Telegraph

Soaring debt and borrowing costs are approaching levels that once forced London to seek an IMF rescue, according to a recent report
UK teeters on economic collapse – Telegraph











Britain is facing the prospect of a repeat of its crippling 1976 economic crash as soaring debt and borrowing costs raise doubts over Labour’s budget policies, leading economists have warned, according to a Telegraph report.

The crisis nearly fifty years ago saw a Labour government forced to seek an emergency loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) after deficits and inflation spun out of control. It became one of Britain’s worst postwar crises, with the bailout bringing deep spending cuts and Labour losing power a few years later.

Now Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces similar warnings, with forecasts showing a £50 billion ($68 billion) gap in the public finances and debt interest set to exceed £111 billion. Debt now exceeds 96% of GDP. At around £2.7 trillion, it is one of the heaviest burdens in the developed world. Government borrowing costs have surged, with yields on 30-year bonds climbing above 5.5%, higher than those of the US and Greece.

Jagjit Chadha, former head of the National Institute for Economic and Social Research, told the Telegraph the outlook was “as perilous as the period leading up to the IMF loan of 1976,” warning Britain could struggle to meet pensions and welfare payments.

Andrew Sentance, once a Bank of England policymaker, said Reeves was “on course to deliver a [former UK Chancellor Denis] Healey 1976-style crisis in late 2025 or 26,” accusing Labour of fueling inflation with higher taxes, borrowing, and spending.

The warnings come weeks before Reeves is due to present her first autumn budget, where she is expected to announce further tax rises to cover the shortfall – a move critics argue would deepen the downturn. The Labour government also faces deepening political and economic challenges, including declining support.

On Saturday, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage declared it was “the 1970s all over again,” while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch described soaring borrowing costs as the price of Labour’s “economic mismanagement.”

London has pledged to raise military spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027, aligning with NATO commitments. Britain remains one of Ukraine’s most ardent supporters, delivering billions in military and financial aid – further squeezing already stretched public finances.

And who knows how much they spend housing and supporting the extraordinary flow of migrants into the UK?

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Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Economics - Trump Style > Trump ate von der Leyen for breakfast in biggest deal ever - Orban

 

Is there a big difference between Trump's trade deals and the old Mafia protection rackets - Pay me what I want and I won't destroy you!


‘Dark day’: French PM says EU’s Trump trade deal is a ‘submission’



The European Union’s trade deal with the United States is “submission” to U.S. President Donald Trump and marks a “dark day” in the history of the bloc, French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou said on Monday.

Trump announced a trade deal between the U.S. and the EU on Sunday after meeting with European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen in Scotland.

Bayrou took to social media to criticize the deal, which would see an across the board 15 per cent tariff on most goods from Europe.

“Von der Leyen-Trump Agreement: it is a dark day when an alliance of free peoples, united to affirm their values and defend their interests, resolves to submission,” Bayrou posted in French on the social media platform X.

Click to play video: 'What Trump’s EU trade deal reveals about talks with Canada'
2:04
What Trump’s EU trade deal reveals about talks with Canada

The response from French government officials stands in contrast to some other European nations. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomed the deal.

“We have been able to safeguard our core interests,” Merz said in a statement on Monday.

A 15% tariff is safeguarding? Someone please explain that to me.

Also, explain to me how weakening the economy of all your friends and trading partners doesn't come back to bite you. What goes around, comes around!

On the other hand, French President Emmanuel Macron has not reacted to the announcement of a trade deal, while other senior French officials have been cautious in their reactions.

“The trade agreement negotiated by the European Commission with the United States will bring temporary stability to economic actors threatened by the escalation of American tariffs, but it is unbalanced,” French deputy minister for European Affairs Benjamin Haddad said in a statement on X.

“The current situation is not satisfactory and cannot be sustainable. The free trade that has brought shared prosperity to both sides of the Atlantic since the end of the Second World War is now rejected by the United States, which is choosing economic coercion and complete disregard for WTO rules,” Haddad added.

The private meeting between Trump and von der Leyen culminated months of bargaining, with the White House deadline Friday nearing for imposing punishing tariffs on the 27-member EU.

“It was a very interesting negotiation. I think it’s going to be great for both parties,” Trump said. The agreement, he said, was “a good deal for everybody” and “a giant deal with lots of countries.”

Von der Leyen said the deal “will bring stability, it will bring predictability that’s very important for our businesses on both sides of the Atlantic.”

Trump said the EU had agreed to buy some $750 billion worth of U.S. energy and invest $600 billion more than it already is in America, as well as making a major purchase of military equipment.

“We are agreeing that the tariff straight across for automobiles and everything else will be a straight across tariff of 15 per cent,” Trump said. “We have a tariff of 15 per cent. We have the opening up of all of the European countries.”

Von der Leyen said the 15 per cent tariffs were “across the board, all inclusive” and that “indeed, basically the European market is open.”

Except, you are restricted to buying American LNG at twice the price of Russian gas. And you have been bullied or fooled into thinking you need trillions of dollars worth of American-made weapons systems. Orban is right, as usual.

— With files from Associated Press




Thursday, April 17, 2025

Global Economics > Is EU rethinking abandoning Russian energy plan? Hong Kong will stop all shipping to or from the USA; China's cancelling of Boeing contracts could cost $35BN

 

EU delays Russian energy withdrawal plan

– FT

The postponement is reportedly linked in part to discussions over the future of the sabotaged Nord Stream pipelines
EU delays Russian energy withdrawal plan – FT











The EU will once again delay plans to eliminate its dependence on Russian energy, amid ongoing debates within the bloc over the future of the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, the Financial Times has reported.

Nord Stream 1, which once delivered Russian natural gas to Germany, and Nord Stream 2 were damaged in a sabotage attack in 2022. However, one string of Nord Stream 2 remains intact. Talks of potentially reviving the pipelines have resurfaced amid recent joint efforts by Russia and the US to end the Ukraine conflict.

Originally slated for release in February, a roadmap detailing steps for cutting the EU’s energy reliance on Russia by 2027 was first put off until March and is now expected to be unveiled in May, the outlet said on Tuesday.

Uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs has also reportedly contributed to the postponement, as the energy trade could become a key issue in EU-US negotiations.

“It’s a mess,” an EU diplomat told the FT. “How does the US fit in all this? How do we diversify?’‘

Brussels is also reportedly seeking legal mechanisms that could enable EU companies to break long-term Russian gas contracts without facing hefty penalties from Moscow.

There are also concerns that any resulting legislation could be vetoed by Hungary and Slovakia, which are now receiving the bulk of the remaining Russian pipeline gas delivered to the EU.

The EU declared its intention of weaning itself off Russian energy following the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022. Supplies of US gas have replaced much of the cheaper pipeline gas previously delivered by Russia.

Although Russian pipeline gas supplies to the EU have plummeted since 2022, the bloc ramped up imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the sanctioned country last year. In 2024, Russia still accounted for around 19% of the bloc’s total gas and LNG supply, according to various estimates.

Brussels has yet to specify the measures it intends to propose to speed up the phasing-out of Russian energy. Some experts have reportedly suggested imposing tariffs on its gas imports as one possible tool.

The development comes as EU industry leaders have suggested a resumption of gas purchases from Russia. According to Reuters, Germany’s chemical industry is facing a “severe crisis” and urgently needs a return to affordable Russian gas. French energy giants Engie and Total also said they could envision resuming Russian energy imports.

And when you consider the Ruble is the strongest currency in the Western World right now, you have to admit that the conspiracy to end Russia's oil and gas exports is largely a failure. Unlike Canada, where the Liberal government has cooperated with the scheme to keep Canada's oil and gas from reaching tidewater.


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Hong Kong ‘suspends’ U.S. package shipments over ‘bullying’ tariffs




In the latest escalation of U.S. President Donald Trump’s global trade war, Hong Kong says it will no longer handle packages coming from or shipping to the U.S.

The Hong Kong government says in a statement that the move comes after the U.S. announced last week that it would eliminate the “duty-free de minimis” exception for items that would normally be shipped to Americans.

That exception applied to all international postal goods that were valued at or under US$800 that entered the country from China and Hong Kong, according to a fact sheet published by the White House on the change.

“For sending items to the U.S., the public in Hong Kong should be prepared to pay exorbitant and unreasonable fees due to the U.S.’s unreasonable and bullying acts,” the statement reads.

“The U.S. is unreasonable, bullying and imposing tariffs abusively.”

Click to play video: 'Trump hikes tariffs on China to 125%'
Trump hikes tariffs on China to 125%

The Hong Kong government went on to say it would suspend the acceptance of any items shipped by sea starting immediately, while items shipped by air will no longer be accepted after April 27.

Senders who have posted items that have not yet been shipped will be contacted to arrange the return of items and a refund on postage starting April 22.

Postage containing only documents, however, will still be accepted.

It’s the latest ripple effect being seen amid tariffs imposed by each country on the other.

As of Wednesday, U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports sit at 145 per cent, while China’s on U.S. products are at 125 per cent.




China orders all airlines to refuse delivery of any airliners from Boeing

As reported yesterday:

Now this really has to hurt!


My conservative estimate of cancelling 179 airliners ordered by China's 3 major airlines would run in the vicinity of $35BN. Yikes!

Don't be surprised if China enters into agreements with a couple of other countries to build their aviation industries and take on Boeing globally. With the quality problems Boeing has been having, it could spell disaster for the industry in America

Perhaps Mr. Trump needs to watch Shogun, or read the book to learn that you do not bully the Chinese, it's a lose-lose occupation.

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