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Showing posts with label Pew Research. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pew Research. Show all posts

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Muslim Population in Europe Could Triple by 2050; even Increase with ‘Zero Migration’ – Study

Europe's race to cultural suicide

What increasing percentages of Muslims will look like in Europe

© Fabrizio Bensch / Reuters


A revealing survey by Pew Research Center, ‘Europe’s Growing Muslim Population’, looks at the future of the 25.8 million Muslims currently residing in European countries. Citing a comprehensive swath of data, it is an attempt to see how the size of Europe’s Muslim population may change in the coming decades, depending on levels of migration.

All three scenarios – zero, moderate and high – considered by researchers produced a thought-provoking outcome: the number of Muslims in Europe will rise at any rate of migration, as they are younger and “have higher fertility (one child more per woman, on average) than other Europeans, mirroring a global pattern.”

Under a first, “zero migration” scenario, the Muslim population of Europe still would be expected to rise from the current level of 4.9 percent to 7.4 percent (roughly 36 million) by the year 2050 even “if all migration into Europe were to immediately and permanently stop.”

A second, “medium” migration scenario assumes that the flows of refugees stop, but “regular” migrants continue to come for reasons other than fleeing wars and instability. Under these conditions, Muslims could comprise 11.2 percent (59 million) of Europe’s population in 2050.

In a third, “high” migration scenario, the heavy influx of predominantly Muslim migrants recorded between 2014 and 2016 continues indefinitely. In this case, Muslims could make up 14 percent (75 million) of Europe’s population by 2050 – nearly triple the current figure.

Should that happen, several major European countries are expected to shoulder most of the burden. In Sweden, nearly a third of the population (4.5 million, or 30 percent) would be Muslims, whereas in Austria and Germany Muslims would represent up to 19 percent of the population.

Also, if high migration continues until 2050, Britain’s Muslim share will grow to 17.2 percent, Finland’s to 15 percent and Norway’s to 17 percent.


Pew Research Religion:

These four maps show estimated Muslim populations in Europe in 2016, and projections for 2050 in zero migration, medium migration and high migration scenarios: http://pewrsr.ch/2inJnRY 








Interesting! Scenarios 3 and 4 show minor increases in UK and France but huge increases in Germany and Sweden - doubling in Germany and Austria, and a 50% increase in Sweden.

“While Europe’s Muslim population is expected to grow in all three scenarios - and more than double in the medium and high migration scenarios – Europe’s non-Muslims, on the other hand, are projected to decline in total number in each scenario,” says the Pew report.

Interestingly, researchers noted that while Europe’s Muslim population is diverse, comprising Muslims born in Europe and in non-European countries, its self-identification still plays a role. “Levels of religious commitment and belief vary among Europe’s Muslim populations,” the report said.

Europe’s Muslim population is expected to grow in all three of the migration scenarios we modeled, while Europe’s non-Muslims are projected to decline in total number in each scenario http://pewrsr.ch/2inpNWn 



While some of those Muslims “would not describe Muslim identity as salient in their daily lives,” for others, Islamic identity “profoundly shapes their daily lives.” In the meantime, “not all children born to Muslim women will ultimately identify as Muslims, but children are generally more likely to adopt their parents’ religious identity than any other.”


From mid-2010 to mid-2016 alone, the share of Muslims in Europe rose more than 1 percentage point, from 3.8% to 4.9% (from 19.5M to 25.8M). By 2050, the share of the continent’s population that is Muslim could more than double, rising to 11.2% or more. http://pewrsr.ch/2io75hh 



Researchers said it was difficult – if not impossible – to predict future migration levels. “Although none of these scenarios will play out exactly as projected, each provides a set of rough parameters from which to imagine other possible outcomes,” the study added. 

There has been a heavy influx of migrants to Europe over the past two years, with Germany and Central European nations most affected, along with arrival points such as Italy and Greece.

The crisis gave rise to various far-right parties benefiting from popular fears of mass migration. In a bid to stem the flow of migrants, the EU undertook a major policy change, introducing tougher border controls and stricter eligibility criteria for new arrivals.

Previous polls suggested the majority of Europeans are wary of Muslim immigration. In August this year, Germany’s Bertelsmann Foundation found that every fifth European citizen does not want Muslims as neighbors. A February study by the UK-based think tank Chatham House revealed that an average of 55 percent of people in 10 European countries “agreed that all further migration from mainly Muslim countries should be stopped.”


This is the pattern with Muslim immigration. Dr. Peter Hammond described it this way.

When politically correct, tolerant, and culturally diverse societies agree to Muslim demands for their religious privileges, some of the other components tend to creep in as well. Here’s how it works. As long as the Muslim population remains around or under 2% in any given country, they will be for the most part be regarded as a peace-loving minority, and not as a threat to other citizens. At 2% to 5%, they begin to proselytize from other ethnic minorities and disaffected groups, often with major recruiting from the jails and among street gangs.

The UK's Muslim population was 2.7 million after the 2011 census, that's about 4.5%. No doubt it has exceeded 3 million and 5% by 2015. 

Turns out, that was a pretty good guess I made 2 years ago, if not a little conservative. 2016 numbers are 6.3%.

From 5% on, they exercise an inordinate influence in proportion to their percentage of the population. For example, they will push for the introduction of halal (clean by Islamic standards) food, thereby securing food preparation jobs for Muslims. They will increase pressure on supermarket chains to feature halal on their shelves — along with threats for failure to comply.

At this point, they will work to get the ruling government to allow them to rule themselves (within their ghettos) under Sharia, the Islamic Law. The ultimate goal of Islamists is to establish Sharia law over the entire world.

When Muslims approach 10% of the population, they tend to increase lawlessness as a means of complaint about their conditions. In Paris , we are already seeing car-burnings. Any non-Muslim action offends Islam, and results in uprisings and threats, such as in Amsterdam , with opposition to Mohammed cartoons and films about Islam. Such tensions are seen daily, particularly in Muslim sections, in: France, Sweden, etc.

After reaching 20%, nations can expect hair-trigger rioting, jihad militia formations, sporadic killings, and the burnings of Christian churches and Jewish synagogues.

At 40%, nations experience widespread massacres, chronic terror attacks, and ongoing militia warfare, such as in Nigeria.

From 60%, nations experience unfettered persecution of non-believers of all other religions (including non-conforming Muslims), sporadic ethnic cleansing (genocide), use of Sharia Law as a weapon, and Jizya, the tax placed on infidels.

After 80%, expect daily intimidation and violent jihad, some State-run ethnic cleansing, and even some genocide, as these nations drive out the infidels, and move toward 100% Muslim.

100% will usher in the peace of ‘Dar-es-Salaam’ — the Islamic House of Peace. Here there’s supposed to be peace, because everybody is a Muslim, the Madrasses are the only schools, and the Koran is the only word.

These are all national numbers - both Dr. Hammond's and PEWs. There are areas, of course, where those percentages are considerably higher than the national numbers; areas which are no-go zones or zones where Muslim criminals run the show.

Dr. Hammond did not include the frequency of rapes and sexual assaults of European girls and young women. Young Muslim men target white girls because they consider them all to be prostitutes and deserving of rape. That's Islam! It should be obvious to most Europeans that this problem is increasing dramatically, but governments and police forces often conspire with liberal news outlets to keep a lid on these things. This is sacrificing European girls on the altar of political correctness and stupidity.


Monday, August 8, 2016

American Churches Too Political for Their Own Good

The politicization of the pulpit in American evangelical churches has turned some away from the church and led many astray. Jesus was a-political, as were all the Apostles. I believe He expects preachers to preach the Gospel, to be concerned with the spiritual, to get people ready for Eternity, rather than trying to create the Kingdom of Heaven in America. American Christian's obsession with politics has done immeasurable harm to the Kingdom of Heaven, and has created what I believe to be the great falling away from God, even while they sit in their pews.
Bully pulpit: Clergy illegally preach for, against
Clinton & Trump
© Enny Nuraheni
© Enny Nuraheni / Reuters

The separation of church and state is supposedly one of the cornerstones of the First Amendment. Yet nearly a third of black Protestants have heard pastors preaching in favor of Hillary Clinton, while the same number heard remarks against Donald Trump.

A new survey from the Pew Research Center shows that worshippers are hearing political speech from the pulpit ‒ something that has been illegal for more than 60 years. Of the 40 percent of Americans who attended religious services within the last few months (through the beginning of July), nearly two-thirds (64 percent) reported that religious leaders had spoken out on at least one political topic, such as religious liberty, homosexuality, abortion, immigration, environmental issues and economic inequality. Almost half (46 percent) said their clergy members had discussed multiple issues from the dais.

 Nearly two-thirds of recent churchgoers say their clergy have spoken out about at least one social or political issue

Nearly half (49 percent) of recent service attendees said their clergy rarely or never speak about social and political issues from the pulpit.


While only 14 percent of recent churchgoers said their clergy had spoken directly for or against a specific presidential candidate, religious endorsements or denouncements from the pulpit vary by sect ‒ and by race. In general, leaders are slightly more likely to speak out against a particular candidate (11 percent) than for one (9 percent).


Black Protestants are more likely to have heard clergy endorsing or denouncing a presidential candidate than any other group. Nearly three in ten have heard their pastor speaking in favor of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, while the same proportion (29 percent) have heard remarks against Republican nominee Donald Trump. Only 7 percent of black pastors appear to have denounced Clinton.

Three-in-ten black Protestant churchgoers have heard their clergy support Clinton, one-in-five have heard opposition to Trump

Three-in-ten black Protestant churchgoers have heard their clergy support Clinton, one-in-five have heard opposition to Trump

That same group is more likely to have heard their clergy advocating for voting in a primary or caucus ‒ 50 percent of black Protestants compared to 32 percent overall ‒ or in the general election for president, by 59 percent to 40 percent.

Four-in-ten churchgoers say clergy have encouraged congregation to vote in November

This last form of political preaching from the pulpit is allowed under the Johnson Amendment, a 1954 law that prohibits churches and other non-profit organizations from endorsing or opposing political candidates, or risk losing their tax-exempt status. They are, however, allowed to promote political engagement and speak of issues in general terms. The law was proposed by then-Senator Lyndon B. Johnson (D-Texas), which critics contend was his way of stifling nonprofits that backed his opponent. Groups like the Alliance Defending Freedom, which started the Pulpit Freedom Sunday or defiance movement, say the Johnson Amendment violates their freedom of speech.




Americans hear mostly conservative tone from pulpit about religious liberty and abortion, more liberal take on immigration and the environment

The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) is tasked with enforcing that law, but has been hesitant to do so. Part of the problem is a lack of resources to go after offenders, thanks to consistent underfunding by Congress. On top of that, the agency is still dealing with the fallout of a scandal targeting the tax-exempt status of conservative nonprofits.

In February, Trump promised to overturn the Johnson Amendment if elected.

“I think maybe that will be my greatest contribution to Christianity ‒ and other religions ‒ is to allow you, when you talk religious liberty, to go and speak openly, and if you like somebody or want somebody to represent you, you should have the right to do it,” Trump told a group of about 1,000 evangelical leaders in June. “People walking down the street have more power than you, because they can say whatever they want.”

It’s a vow he reiterated in his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention in July, and is now part of the GOP platform.

“They have so much to contribute to our politics, yet our laws prevent you from speaking your minds from your own pulpits,” Trump said. “I am going to work very hard to repeal that language and protect free speech for all Americans.”

The political preferences of U.S. religious groups
Members of evangelical churches are far more likely to lean towards or identify with the Republican Party, according to a survey of US religious groups and Americans’ political leanings that Pew published in February.

The Pew survey on politics in the pulpit was conducted between June 5 and July 7 among 4,602 adults nationwide.